| Re: WTF Is Mitt Doing Overseas? -- Beachboy | |||||
| Posted by Shaka_Zulu , Tue, Jul 31, 2012, 15:09:12 | Top of Thread | Reviews by Shaka_Zulu | Archive | Main BigDoggie.net site | |
by Jeff Greenfield
Depending on whom you turn to, the key lies in second quarter real GDP growth, the optimism or pessimism of the electorate, individual or family real income growth or a dizzying mix of these and other measurements.
Theyre usually economic, although one prognosticatorAllan Lichtman, history professor at American Universityuses broader measurements, asking whether the incumbent or challenger is charismatic or whether the incumbent party has presided over a major change in social policy. (This is considered a positive, although I dont know if weve ever had a case like the Affordable Care Act, whichunlike every other major social changepassed without bipartisan backing and remains broadly unpopular.)
So its with that skepticism in mind that I offer, not a prediction, but a flat pre-election assessment: If President Barack Obama is to win, he is going to have to overcome a set of numbers that no incumbent President, or incumbent party, has ever managed to surmount.
1.5% GDP number is distorted- really lower do to govt employees kicked to the kirb or some such shit
Coca cola is on crack
Related link: http://news.yahoo.com/add-it-up--the-prediction-models-look-dismal-for-obama--can-he-still-win-.html
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